A recent article in the journal, Studies in Intelligence, takes up the issue of using prediction markets as intelligence tools, a topic that I have wondered about myself recently.
Towards the end of the article, the author takes up the issue of whether or not an internal, Intelligence Community prediction market should be a real-money or […]

Within the last hour, the Dow has lost about 400 points, or about 3% of its total value. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 are also both down.
However, the NewsFutures prediction market seems to have predicted this decline. Beginning as recently as 9 hours ago, the prediction that the stock market would increase […]

Testing a widget from the prediction market called Inkling. Cool if/when it works. Seems a little difficult to use.
How might prediction markets be used for research and/or intelligence gathering?
Here’s one from NewsFutures on the probability of a U.S. attack on Iran in the near future:

Looks like those trading on NewsFutures have been feeling […]